REPORTING: According to a new poll, the Louisiana U.S. Senate race is now tied
According to a new poll released to the media on Friday, October 30th, by the Jamie Davis campaign, Davis is now tied with Republican Julia Letlow in the race to represent Louisiana in the U.S. Senate.
The poll was conducted by Hart Research Associates among 502 likely voters.
According to the poll, the race is now tied at 45% to 45%, with 10% still being undecided. Davis is leading by 23 percent among independents, with his 53% to Letlow's 30%. Of note, President Donald Trump carried the state by about 20 points in 2024.
This new poll comes at a time when the race is starting to garner national attention, and if you’re the Republicans, that attention is for all of the wrong reasons.
Huge turnout among Louisiana's Black electorate during early voting elevated the Democrats to a lead over Republicans, at a clip of 42% to 39%. 34.4% of all votes placed through early voting came from Black voters, who only account for roughly 31% of Louisiana’s electorate.
The high turnout has led to concerns from the Republicans.
For Letlow, this election should’ve been a "cakewalk," but as one Louisiana Republican told Politico, “it turned into a knife fight.”
It was announced this week that President Trump will be hosting a “tele-rally” on November 2nd for Letlow, showing there are fears about low Republican voter turnout. Also occurring this week, the Louisiana GOP and a PAC aligned with Letlow started attacking Davis.
On October 28th, a $400,000 AI-generated ad spot—paid for by the pro-Letlow Accountability Project—played across screens around the state. In the ad, Davis' AI-rendering walks towards the camera, while on the right side of the screen, block letters tout exaggerated claims, stating he wants:
“Abortion on demand.”
“Gun rights taken away.”
“Socialized healthcare.”
“Illegals to become citizens.”
All of these claims are stated by a disembodied voice that also states that “His values are not Louisiana values.”
But it wasn’t just the one ad—there’s also a Facebook post from the Louisiana GOP. The post attacks Davis’ abortion stance, with an AI depiction of him dressed as a sleazy car dealership salesman, the text on the image stating, “Don’t get stuck with a lemon.”
These attacks came before the new poll was ever released, so one could only imagine what the Letlow campaign is feeling now.
As of today, Inside Elections and Crystal Ball both have changed their election forecast for the Louisiana U.S. Senate race from Safe Republican to Likely Republican.
That’s all I have for now, but stay tuned for my next story on this race.
Danny Cherry Jr.
A LONGER PROFILE ON THE JAMIE DAVIS CAMPAIGIN
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